Texas vs. Washington odds, line, spread: 2024 College Football Playoff picks, prediction from proven model

SportsLine's computer model has locked in its college football picks and prediction for the Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies in the 2024 Allstate Sugar Bowl on New Year's Day

One team will advance to play for the national title, and one team will go home for the offseason when the Washington Huskies and Texas Longhorns collide in the 2024 Sugar Bowl on New Year's Day at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Washington (13-0) enters the game on a nation's-best 20-game winning streak and is two wins away from the program's second national championship of the poll era and first since 1991. Meanwhile Texas (12-1) is back in the national title hunt after 13 years of mediocrity and is making its first appearance in the College Football Playoff. The winner of Monday's game will advance to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game next week in Houston. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:45 p.m. ET. The Longhorns are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Washington odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 61.5. Before making any Washington vs. Texas picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. The model entered bowl season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Washington and has locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Washington vs. Texas:

• Texas vs. Washington spread: Longhorns -3.5
• Texas vs. Washington over/under: 61.5 points
• Texas vs. Washington money line: Longhorns -176, Huskies +146
• TEX: Longhorns rank second in the FBS in third down conversion percent defense (0.265)
• WASH: Michael Penix Jr. leads the country in passing yards per game (324.5)
• Texas vs. Washington: See picks at SportsLine  
• Texas vs. Washington: live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns have one of the country's best defensive players in tackle T'Vondre Sweat. A freak athlete for his size at 6-foot-4 and 362 pounds, Sweat has set career highs in tackles (42), solo tackles (17), tackles for loss (eight), sacks (two) and pass breakups (four), while adding a blocked kick. He has anchored a unit that ranks second in the country in third down conversion percentage (26.5) and third in both red zone conversion percentage (71.4) and rushing defense (80.8 yards per game allowed). For his efforts this season, Sweat won the Outland Trophy and was named the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year.

In addition, Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers is coming off arguably the best game of his college career. In the Big 12 Championship Game rout of Oklahoma State, the former five-star recruit completed 35-of-46 passes for a career-high 452 and four touchdowns against only one interception. On Monday he will face a porous Washington defense that gives up 263.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 120th in the country. See which team to pick here.

Why Washington can cover

Running back Dillon Johnson enters the game on a roll. Since Nov. 1, the junior running back from Greenville, Miss., has rushed for 683 yards, which ranks third in the country, behind only Missouri's Cody Schrader (810) and UCF's RJ Harvey (704). He also has eight rushing touchdowns over that time, which is tied for seventh in the country.

In addition, the Huskies have a pass-rushing force in Bralen Trice. The 6-foot-4, 275-pound junior from Phoenix leads the team in sacks (five), tackles for loss (8.5) and quarterback hurries (14). For his efforts this season he was named to the all-Pac 12 first team. See which team to pick here.

How to make Texas vs. Washington picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under the total, predicting 59 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can see the model's CFB picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Washington vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.