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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 18, 2024: Model loving Lions, Packers

SportsLine's advanced model has locked in its Week 18 NFL picks for every game on the NFL schedule

06 Jan 2024, 14:51 · CBS Sports

The final regular season game of the NFL schedule features the Bills as 2.5-point road favorites on Sunday Night Football against the Dolphins in the Week 18 NFL odds. The Bills have failed to cover in seven straight primetime games, the longest active streak and the fifth-longest since 2000. However, before jumping on Miami with your Week 18 NFL bets, the Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in four straight games as underdogs, including a 28-point defeat to the Bills in Week 4. Which team is the one to back with your Week 18 NFL picks and which NFL spreads should you target? All of the Week 18 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 18 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 18 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 18 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model's Week 18 NFL picks is the Lions (-3.5) cover the spread at home versus the Vikings on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Detroit has covered in six straight versus Minnesota, and the Lions' 11-5 ATS record this season is also tied for the best in the NFL.

Meanwhile, the Vikings' defense has fallen apart at the worst possible time. It's allowed 90 points over the last three games after allowing 90 points over its prior six games combined. The Vikings now have to face a Detroit team that is coming off one extra day of rest after playing last Saturday. When having a rest advantage, the Lions are 8-2 ATS since Dan Campbell's first season in 2021, which is the best ATS mark in that scenario in the NFL. SportsLine's model sees Detroit winning by at least a touchdown on Sunday as the Lions cover nearly 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 18 NFL predictions: The Packers (-3) cover against the Bears in a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Most of Green Bay's roster doesn't know what it's like to lose to the Bears as the Pack are riding a nine-game win streak against their divisional rival. Green Bay has also covered in all nine of those games, winning each of them by at least seven points.

Jordan Love had three touchdowns and no turnovers in a Week 1 win over Chicago, and he's been the most efficient NFL quarterback over the last seven weeks. Over that stretch, he has 16 touchdowns versus just one pick, and he now gets to face one of the weakest pass defenses. The Bears have the second-fewest sacks, while just three teams have allowed more passing touchdowns than Chicago. The model projects Love to have more passing TDs than Justin Fields has passing plus rushing scores combined, as Green Bay (-3) covers in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 18 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 18 NFL schedule and just revealed four teams that outright win nearly 70% of the time. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which four teams should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.